17 May, 2018

Updated Genetic Odds Cheatsheet

Since the researchers at the ḈḁṇṇḁḇḭṦḼ Genome Project published the last Genetic Odds Table, several updates have brought us FX inheritance from males, tint and glow traits, as well as the ability to use Plant Auxin to get a second chance at higher yield plants. So it's "high time" for an update to the "Cheatsheet!" You can use these numbers to predict and plan your breeding strategies, as well as to help you evaluate your stock when trading or selling.

A Technical Caveat

The percentages are taken straight from the "genetic engine" scripts, but they're really only approximate. That's because the Linden Scripting Language (LSL) -- and many other programming languages --  uses "pseudo random numbers" rather than truly random numbers. Moreover, LSL generates random numbers in batches, which means that fetching several random numbers at about the same time on the same sim may not be truly independent events. At any rate, it's close enough that the "genetic odds" in the table aren't too far off, and the unpredictability adds a little fun (and uncertainty) to breeding!

Calculating Odds for Multiple Traits

Leaving aside the possibility that "random" events in LSL may not be truly independent, the odds of independent events happening together are multiplicative. Thus, the odds of germinating a seed and getting a 3-seed dwarf female would be 2.3% (odds of 3-seed female) times 2.0% (odds of dwarf) for a 0.046% chance (less than one in 2,200 odds). That's kind of uncommon!

Beating the Odds

Obviously, one way to get those 3-seed dwarf females is to germinate lots & lots & lots & lot of  ḈḁṇṇḁḇḭṦḼ seeds. Naturally, the ḈḁṇṇḁḇḭṦḼ Team encourages this approach, because it puts more money in our pocket! But most experienced growers take the long view, isolating dwarf genetic lines, taking a chance with Plant Auxin & waiting for that 3-seed female to hit! Happy Growing!

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